PAT Score Converter

Enter an Oxford PAT past-paper score to estimate its historical percentile and a rough ESAT Physics percentile-equivalent.

Year

Historical PAT score data

Official Oxford Physics cohort statistics. Shortlisting marks are shown only when Oxford published a PAT-score cut-off for that year.

YearMeanSDHistorical shortlisting benchmarkFormat notePercentile method
202554.917.8–MCQ-only onlineNormal approximation
202449.618.5–MCQ-only onlineNormal approximation
202355.618.6–Online deliveryNormal approximation
202251.216.968Calculators allowedNormal approximation
202143.117.763Calculators allowedNormal approximation
202049.115.9–Calculators allowedNormal approximation
201941.516.8–Calculators allowedNormal approximation
201852.116.062Calculators allowedNormal approximation
201752.114.3592017 MCQs returnedNormal approximation
201653.015.3602015 MCQs removedNormal approximation
201556.917.3652015 MCQs removedNormal approximation
201449.613.555Pre-2015 written + MCQNormal approximation
201361.015.068Pre-2015 written + MCQNormal approximation
201248.011.0–Pre-2015 written + MCQNormal approximation
201148.016.0–Pre-2015 written + MCQNormal approximation
201066.014.071Pre-2015 written + MCQNormal approximation

Frequently asked questions

Year-specific PAT percentiles, format changes, and why the ESAT Physics figure is only a percentile-equivalent.

What does the PAT score converter do?
It estimates where an Oxford PAT past-paper score sat in that year's applicant cohort. You choose a historical PAT year, enter a score out of 100, and the tool reports the official published mean, standard deviation and any PAT-only shortlisting mark for that sitting. Where Oxford published enough data, it also estimates a historical percentile. If that percentile can be estimated, the converter then finds the ESAT Physics score at the same percentile. That last figure is a rough percentile-equivalent for practice, not an official PAT to ESAT conversion.
What was a good PAT score?
It depended on the year. Oxford's published means moved a long way: about 41% in 2019, 43% in 2021, 51% in 2022 and 56% in 2023. Automatic shortlisting marks, when Oxford published a PAT-only cut-off, also moved: 59 in 2017, 62 in 2018, 63 in 2021 and 68 in 2022. A score that was strong in a hard year could be typical in an easier one, so the year matters more than a single 'good score' rule.
Did PAT difficulty change between years?
Yes. Oxford has said the paper is written to a similar intended difficulty, but the realised difficulty is only known after candidates sit it. Means and spreads changed with that, and with format changes: MCQs were removed in 2015, returned in 2017, calculators were allowed from 2018, 2023 moved online, and 2024 became MCQ-only. Raw percentages from different PAT years are not directly comparable.
Can a PAT score be converted to ESAT Physics?
Not officially. PAT and ESAT are different tests, with different cohorts, formats and scoring. Where this tool can estimate a historical PAT percentile, it looks up the ESAT Physics score at the same percentile on the current official ESAT Physics distribution. Treat that as a practice-context percentile-equivalent only. It is not an official PAT to ESAT conversion, and Oxford will not use it for admissions.
Why is the ESAT estimate only approximate?
The ESAT figure is a percentile match, not a raw-mark translation. It assumes that sitting at the 70th percentile of a historical PAT cohort is loosely comparable to sitting at the 70th percentile of the current ESAT Physics cohort. The tests cover overlapping physics and maths, but they are not the same paper, the candidate pools differ, and PAT itself changed format several times. Small differences in PAT percentile also map onto a coarse ESAT 1.0-9.0 scale.
What format changes happened in PAT?
Before 2015 the paper mixed multiple-choice and longer written questions. MCQs were removed in 2015, then reintroduced in 2017. Calculators were allowed from 2018. 2023 was delivered online. From 2024 the PAT was MCQ-only, sat online, with an on-screen calculator. Oxford Physics now requires ESAT, and Oxford does not intend to keep releasing new PAT papers in the same way.
Where does the historical data come from?
Mean, standard deviation, range and shortlisting figures come from University of Oxford Department of Physics admissions reports, formerly PAT reports. Each year in the table cites the matching report. Percentiles are estimated from those official cohort statistics. Oxford published score histograms as graphs rather than tabulated bins, so this converter does not invent histogram counts. ESAT Physics percentiles use the same official cumulative table as the main ESAT Camp score converter. Prep-site claims are not used as historical data when Oxford figures exist.

Oxford reports: Physics admissions reports

What to do after estimating your PAT score

A historical PAT percentile is useful only if it changes your practice. If the estimate is weaker than you need, spend the next sessions on the topics that cost marks, then sit another timed paper from the same PAT era.

PAT and ESAT are different tests. Use the ESAT Physics percentile-equivalent to choose practice difficulty, not as a score Oxford will see.

Related guides

Estimate only, not official Oxford or UAT-UK scoring. ESATCAMP is an independent preparation resource and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the University of Oxford, UAT-UK, Pearson VUE or any university.